Monday, 26 November 2018

Motherson Sumi Systems Valuation: Saving the Hippopotamus

If you've ever owned a car, you are sure to have used this company's products. With that bold opening statement, let's attempt to unravel the story and the numbers behind one of the largest Retail Automotive players in the country: Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (MSSL).

Monday, 12 November 2018

Kajaria Ceramics Valuation: Regaining Lost Ground?

I was recently touring the beautiful hill station of Munnar in Kerala. To my surprise, the way to Munnar and back was covered with several hoardings of Kajaria Ceramics, the market leader in the Tiles segment. I had been following it earlier on and off, and with the recent slide in its share price, I thought I should whip out my Valuation model to see if the correction was justified.

Sunday, 4 November 2018

CCL Products (India) Valuation: Freshly Brewed Value

Everyone loves coffee and not just in India. Coffee is loved globally and even today, it is one of the most sought-average hot beverage by a long margin. So, it's not far-fetched to say that CCL Products (India) is in a sweet spot, operating in such a niche industry.

Sunday, 7 October 2018

DHFL Valuation: When the Facts Change..

Disclaimer: After the Cobrapost expose, there has been a lot of noise around whether the numbers reported by DHFL are genuine or not. While a rebuttal from the Management is expected, as a responsible student of valuation, I ask that you take this post with a mountain of salt. There's a famous quote in relation to Statistical Analysis that goes "Garbage in, garbage out". Put another way, if it actually turns out that the numbers were indeed misleading, then this post would be too. In that regard, I ask that you exercise due caution.

Sunday, 23 September 2018

Goodyear India Valuation - A 'Practical Thought' Model for Valuing Equities

In his book "Poor Charlie's Almanac", Berkshire Hathaway's Vice Chairman Mr. Charlie Munger talks about an informal speech he gave in 1996, titled "Practical Thought About Practical Thought?". He warns that not many people understood his talk and it was practically a communication failure. But at the crux of this speech lies hidden a valuation technique that acts a saving grace for those averse to intrinsic valuation methods such as the DCF or the DDM.